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As On 17-Oct-2018
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  • Affordable housing to boost cement demand, excise duty still remains a pain

    Announcements aimed at boosting rural income, infrastructure and making housing affordable have been taken as neutral to positive by the market, even as the cement sector was seeking huge sops to beat cash ban blues.  The increased allocation to rural low-cost housing under Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana- Gramin scheme to Rs 23,000 crore from Rs 16,000 crore in FY17 is likely to drive a 2% increase in cement demand. On the flip side, allocations to urban housing were increased by merely Rs 1,000 crore, significantly disappointing expectations of a big push to urban affordable housing. The limitation of tax deductible loss from let out housing property to Rs 2,00,000 could negatively impact demand for on real estate demand, and thus cement demand,, especially in large cities.

    It will drive housing higher demand and this will be mostly institutional demand, which favours efficient players over premium ones. Also, the National Housing Bank will refinance individual housing loans of about Rs 20,000 crore in 2017-18. The FM proposed to complete 1 crore houses by 2019. All these developments are expected to boost cement demand. 

    However, there was no mention of reduction in excise duties. Cement sector attracts higher excise duty at around 12.5% compared with about 6% attracted by other core industries. Experts said that relaxation in tax levies would have boosted the sentiment a lot.  The present excise rate is 12% ad valorem and an additional Rs 125/tonne, with 30% abatement. Simplification and reduction in the excise duty structure and an increase in the abatement limit would be a strong positive for the sector. There was also no clarity on GST slabs. 

    There was though a relief on clean energy cess front as the government did not introduce Rs 400/tonne cess on petcoke, which could have increased cement prices by Rs 30 per tones.  The government in Budget FY17 increased clean energy cess on coal to Rs 400/tonne from Rs 200 per tonne, but had not levied cess on petcoke. Cement industry grows roughly at 1-1.5 times of GDP growth, but the recent demonetisation move has slowed down the sector. Average cement price rose 1.9% YoY, but declined 1.1% sequentially in the December quarter. There has been Rs 1,500-2,000/tonne spike in domestic petcoke prices in last six months. 

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Flash News 17-Oct-2018
  •  ( 15:52) Market snaps 3-day gains  
  •  ( 15:40) Sensex ends below 35,000 mark  
  •  ( 12:20) NBFCs shares tumble  
  •  ( 08:26) CRISIL Q3 consol. PAT up 29.66% at Rs 90.01 cr  
  •  ( 08:25) Hero MotoCorp Q2 PAT down 3.4% at Rs 976 cr  
  •  ( 08:02) Asia shares rally as Wall St bounce relieves  
  •  ( 08:02) Asia shares rally as Wall St bounce relieves  
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17 October 2018 00:00
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