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As On 23-Jul-2018
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  • Commodities Buzz: USDA Raises EU Grain Crop Estimates By 2 MMT For MY 2017/18

    The crop estimates of United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has raised MY2017/18 EU-28 grain crop up by 2 MMT to 304 MMT, 6.4 MMT higher than MY2016/17. The MY2016/17 total grain balance is little changed on the previous forecast, albeit the decline in ending stocks is reduced 800,000 MT mainly due to slight revisions to the imports and feed numbers. With EU-28 MY2017/18 opening stocks still down 5 MMT year-on-year and at a low not seen previously, the focus is now on likely usage. EU28 domestic consumption – food, feed, seed and industrial use – is currently forecast little changed year-on-year so, while the improved production forecast will be welcome, the spotlight is on the trade balance. This is currently forecast to widen yearon-year by about 500,000 MT, the forecast for imports, albeit up year-on-year, lowered slightly and that for exports increased both year-on-year and on the previous forecast. This scenario sees total grain stocks little changed in MY2017/18 and the balance remaining tight into MY2018/19.

    Forecast EU-28 wheat production is up 1 MMT to 152.5 MMT, up nearly 7.5 MMT on MY2016/17 but still nearly 8 MMT below MY2015/16. The most significant year-on-year increase is in France (up 10.85 MMT) following their very poor crop in MY2016/17. The forecast is also an upward revision on the previous number, following a good harvest. The UK (800,000 MT) and Poland (700,000 MT) are also expecting larger crops than previously forecast and year-on-year following improved yields.

    MY2016/17 EU-28 corn production is revised to 61.5 MMT, up just over 400,000 MT on the previous expectation. Forecast MY2017/18 production is also raised but by nearly 1 MMT, meaning the year-onyear decrease falls to just 1 MMT. Within this total, a much improved outlook for the size of the Romanian, and to a lesser extent Bulgarian and German, crops is partially offset by declines elsewhere, most notably for the Hungarian crop.

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Flash News 23-Jul-2018
  •  ( 12:25) Market trading higher   
  •  ( 11:33) VST Industries Q1 PAT up 53.9% at Rs 61.24 crore  
  •  ( 11:29) Cement stocks gain  
  •  ( 11:09) Bata India Q1 PAT up 36.6% at Rs 82.55 crore  
  •  ( 10:03) Positive market breadth  
  •  ( 09:40) Index heavyweight ITC surges  
  •  ( 08:28) HDFC Bank Q1 PAT up 18.17% at Rs 4601.44 cr  
  •  ( 08:25) UPL to acquire Arysta LifeScience for $4.2 billion  
  •  ( 08:03) Asian stocks trading mixed  
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23 July 2018 13:07
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