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Commodity Mid Session News

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(11 Mar 2026, 14:19)

Commodities Buzz: EIA says US natural gas prices to be relatively unaffected by recent developments

The US Energy Information Administration or EIA has stated in a latest monthly update that although reduced liquefied natural gas (LNG) flows through the Strait of Hormuz have caused the price of natural gas in Europe and Asia to increase, it expects U.S. natural gas prices to be relatively unaffected by this development. In its forecast, the Henry Hub spot price averages about $3.80 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2026, or 13% less than our forecast last month. Prices in the early part of the forecast are lower because of milder-than-forecast temperatures in February that left more natural gas in storage than we expected. The Henry Hub spot price averages nearly $3.90/MMBtu in 2027, 12% lower than forecast last month. Lower prices in 2027 mostly reflect more associated natural gas production as a result of the recent increase in oil prices and the related increase in production later in the forecast. EIA noted that reductions in the flow of liquified natural gas (LNG) through the Strait of Hormuz have caused natural gas prices in Europe and Asia to increase. However, EIA expects U.S. natural gas prices to be relatively unaffected by this development, as LNG export facilities were already operating at a high level of utilization prior to the Middle East conflict, limiting the ability to export additional volumes in the near term.
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