(30 Jul 2025, 15:06)

Historically high levels of public debt could tighten global financial conditions, warns IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its World Economic Outlook (WEO) July update stated that global fiscal vulnerabilities could become more salient, with implications for financial markets and spillovers to the real economy. A number of economies, including Brazil, France, and the United States, are projected to run large fiscal deficits against the backdrop of historically high levels of public debt. This could raise term premiums and, especially in the case of the United States, tighten global financial conditions. An increase in US term premiums led by concerns regarding fiscal sustainability could also make financial markets excessively volatile, especially if it interacts with concerns about geoeconomic fragmentation and the future of the international monetary system centred on the dollar.

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Historically high levels of public debt could tighten global financial conditions, warns IMF