Indian markets head into the trading week on a cautiously constructive note, anchored by supportive monetary and trade developments. The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate at 5.25% and maintained a neutral stance, reinforcing stability after recent volatility. This helped the Sensex rise nearly 266 points and the Nifty close above 25,650, while the rupee logged its strongest weekly gain in over three years, underpinned by optimism around new trade pacts.
Investor sentiment was also boosted by the India–US trade deal, which spurred a powerful relief rally in early February. However, global risk-off pressures persisted, with tech stocks underperforming amid sell-offs in the U.S. and AI-related volatility spilling into Asian markets.
Given this backdrop, prominent large-cap counters and export-linked sectors could remain in focus, with investors closely watching liquidity conditions, currency trends, and corporate earnings momentum.
In India, the M3 Money Supply figures for the week ended on January 23 would be made public on Wednesday (11 February 2026). Money Supply M3 in India increased to 322144.23 INR Billion in the week ending December 31 from 246833.33 INR Billion two weeks before.
On Thursday (12 February 2026), the Inflation Rate for the month of January 2026 would be made public. The consumer price inflation rate in India rose to 1.33% in December of 2025 from 0.71% in the earlier month, extending the normalization from the record low of 0.25% in October. Despite the second consecutive increase, the inflation rate remained sharply below the Reserve Bank of India's tolerance limit of 2%-6%.
On Friday (12 February 2026), the wholesale price inflation (WPI) figures would be announced. India’s wholesale prices increased 0.83% year-on-year in December 2025, rebounding from a 0.32% drop recorded in November. This marked the first increase in three months and the fastest pace since April, mainly supported by faster rises in manufacturing prices.
Lastly, the foreign exchange reserves position for the week ended on February 06 would be unveiled on the same day. Foreign Exchange Reserves in India increased to $709,410 million in January 23 from $701,360 million in the previous week.
In China, the inflation rate for January 2026 would be made public on Wednesday (11 February 2026). China’s annual inflation rate edged higher to 0.8% in December 2025 from 0.7% in the prior month, marking the highest level since February 2023.
Wednesday would also see the release of the producer price inflation numbers for the month of January. China’s producer prices fell 1.9% year-on-year in December 2025, easing from a 2.2% decline in November and extending the contraction to a 39th consecutive month.
On Friday (13 February 2026), the House Price Index data for January 2026 would be unveiled. China’s new home prices across 70 cities declined 2.7% year-on-year in December 2025, steeper than a 2.4% drop in the previous month.
In the United States, the retail sales data for the month of December would be announced on Tuesday (10 February 2026). US retail sales rose 0.6% month-on-month in November 2025, the largest gain since July, rebounding from a revised 0.1% decline in October.
On Wednesday (11 February 2026), the API Crude Oil Stock Change for the week ended on February 06 would be unveiled. US crude oil inventories plunged by 11.1 million barrels in the week ended January 30th, 2025, extending a 0.25 million-barrel draw in the prior week.
The Non Farm Payrolls data for the month of January would also be announced on Wednesday. The US economy added 50K payrolls in December 2025, less than a downwardly revised 56K in November.
Wednesday would also see the release of the unemployment rate for January 2026. The US unemployment rate edged down to 4.4% in December 2025, from a revised 4.5% in November, which had marked the highest level since October 2021.
On Thursday (12 February 2026), the existing home sales data for January 2026 would be made public. Existing home sales in the United States surged by 5.1% from the previous month to an annualized rate of 4.35 million in December of 2025.
Lastly on Friday (13 February 2026), the inflation rate for the month of January would be announced. The annual inflation rate in the US remained at 2.7% in December 2025, the same as in November.