We demonstrated resilience during the last few years. We are now placed
to capitalise on a period of rejuvenation going ahead.
Overview
Our sector lives!'
Just three words. But they underline the performance of India's
air-cooler sector (and our Company) during the last financial year.
There is a background to this that needs to be explained.
For the last few years, India's air-cooler sector had stagnated.
The market did not grow. This transpired for a specific reason: virtually all tertiary
across-the- counter sales of residential air-coolers transpire during the summer, even as
Symphony sells them to trade partners through the year. This unusual reality provides the
sector with a limited tertiary sales window. Each time this limited window is disturbed by
external factors, including climatic and Black Swan events like the Covid-19 pandemic, the
industry needs to wait for the next window ( the following summer).
The tertiary sales of air-coolers were adversely impacted in 2020 and
2021 due to the pandemic; they were affected by adverse weather conditions in the summer
of 2023. However, when this stagnation began to transpire summer after summer, several
capital market participants began to ask us this question: Is this the end of the
road for India's air-cooler sector?' Others suggested that with the evident
onset of global warming more visibly at hand, rising average temperatures, and extending
heat waves each successive summer, consumers were more inclined to make the big leap from
no residential air-coolers to the ownership of air-conditioners.
At Symphony, we maintained a stoic front. We assured them that growth
would return. I am pleased to communicate that the wait is over. Our long-term optimism
has been vindicated. During the last financial year, India's air-cooler category
reported a sharp double-digit percentage increase in offtake. In the June'2024
quarter that coincided with peak summer, the Company reported a revenue growth of 116%
over the corresponding period of the previous year. We believed. We trusted. We were
vindicated. Is this category growth an aberration? Can it sustain? How are we responding
to this development? What conclusions can be made from this spike? Let me answer the last
question first. To say that the Indian air-cooler sector is alive (reflecting the effect
of the 2024 summer) would be to put it mildly. The consumer demand during the last
financial year has sent out an unmistakable morse to all air-cooler brands and players:
that we might have missed something in the last few years that became decisively evident
during the last financial year.
That the Indian consumer had decided.
Decided that the air-cooler provides the most cost-effective option in
countering the rising secular temperature trend (global warming').
Decided that not just one room, but all rooms and exterior living
spaces, including balconies and verandas within a home, needed to be cooled.
Decided that the air-cooler is conclusively the most
environment-friendly cooling option available.
Decided that the air-cooler is not just a summer reflex action, but a
perennial lifestyle necessity. Acknowledged the synergistic coexistence of air-coolers and
other cooling appliances, presenting a diversified opportunity within the broader cooling
market.
Each time the whispers of a slowing market rippled into our Board room,
a message would immediately go out to our research team: Can we accelerate the
development of new alternatives?'
This does not mean that the kind of demand trough we saw in the last
few years may not recur due to external adversities; it only means that the underlying
trend the silent river under the cosmetic froth remains positive for now,
for the foreseeable future, and for the long term. Moreover, this positive trend is not
confined to urban India; it extends significantly to Bharat,' encompassing the
nation's diverse rural and semi-urban landscapes.
If there is a second message that I would like to communicate, it would
be this: we could have waited for the market to revive and then committed funds for new
product development. A typical wait and watch approach.
During the sluggishness of the last few years, we dared to do the
opposite. We kept faith. We invested. We differentiated. Each time the whispers of a
slowing market rippled into our Board room, a message would immediately go out to our
research team: Can we accelerate the development of new alternatives?'
Each time, an analyst hinted that perhaps the best days for the sector
were over, a memo would be scribbled to our new product team: Can we redefine the
product?' We would not wait for the market to turn; we would provoke it into turning
with new products-however arrogant that sounds. We would not wait for the sectorial curve
to turn; we would keep enriching the overall price-value proposition before fresh demand
emerged however ambitious that appears.
We would not sit in a corner hoping that more consumers would buy; we
would pleasantly surprise with a wider portfolio (and stronger brand) when the curve
turned, however far-fetched that seems.
I am pleased that the effect of Symphony's sectoral out-exertion
(out performance comes later) became manifest during the year under review. When the
sector got going, Symphony climbed into the next orbit. The growth we reported was not
limited to climatic arbitrage (temperature rises, income grows). The Company's
performance was catalyzed by the tailwind of initiatives to not merely capitalise on an
existing market, but to expand it, carve out a larger share of category segments, extend
the category to adjacent spaces, and, once this was done, to extend that category to
complementary pockets.
We refined. We framed. We repositioned.
The result was that Symphony did more than just sell to an existing
market (that would have been like rinsing hands in a gurgling stream): we dug deeper and
expanded this market to achieve something more than merely selling for the day. We broad
based the platform for the future.
So, what did we do in the last few years the sluggish ones
that resulted in Symphony deepening its market leadership and continuing to remain
the sectoral benchmark in FY 2024-25? One, we introduced new air-cooler products
irrespective of whether the market was buoyant or weak. Industry observers questioned us.
Why? Why not let existing products run longer? Why widen the portfolio? Why now? This is
our answer: the day we stagger the pace in new product development, our primary customer
our trade channel partner will sense that something has changed in our
Company. That primary customer is likely to send out the first signal:
Ab pehle jaisa rahaa nahin'.
On the other hand, if we kept surprising this primary customer with new
models, we would provide this stakeholder with a wider range from which store revenues
would be generated. The trade partner was likely to conclude: Aur bhi ek naya model?
Bhai, waah!'
There were other reasons. The Indian consumer is being exposed to a
wider range of influences (lifestyle, electronic, and conveniences) that warrant a
corresponding re-framing of the air-cooler. The day we stop doing that, based on external
reasons, we will have ceased to recognise that even as the market may have slowed
temporarily, the consumer continues to evolve perpetually. That could be the kiss of
death. And lastly, these dull sales moments tested our capacity to lock the customer for
life when most people were playing for the moment.
The result is that when the market turned, as it did in FY 2024-25, we
did not just deliver a linearly positive response sell more of the same, but
complemented that with the lateral or sell more of the different. This combination, linear
and lateral, was our most effective response to selling in the immediate and creating a
revenue platform for the imminent.
Two, that we sold all that we had to a perspiring market is one part of
the story; that we were able to sell more of the value-added, sell quicker and sell at
terms of trade more favourable to our Company, represented our complete story. So, what
did we do differently? In one sentence: we extended every operating frontier during the
last financial year.
In the past, we had derived satisfaction from the fact that we were
delivering air-coolers to more pin codes than our competitors. We could have been smug
with that. We could have waited for incremental demand from these pin codes and serviced
it (at the most, we could have attempted to market more value-added air-coolers). We made
a decisive change in the way we interpreted desire; we recognised that in the erstwhile
approach, the decision to buy across last mile India would entail an eight-day gestation
for the desire to be communicated to the nearest marketing hub (mandi), for the
desired model to be procured, and for it to be dispatched.
At Symphony, we dismissed this as boringly routine; we recognised this
as systemic under-delivery; if we did this, we would be merely plugging a gap; we would
not be transforming desire to delight. So, we went back to our distribution
laboratory'; we identified a few select districts where we would address
expressed desire (for the air-cooler) with unusual speed. We restructured our supply
chain. This is what happened: we succeeded in shrinking product delivery to this last mile
defined as remote pockets of our vast country to less than a day. That was a
90% increase in our delivery speed (as we see it). That made it an air-cooler just
around the corner' (as the consumer now saw it). In a business marked by a
combination of impulsive cum intended consumer decision making, this shorter logistical
pipeline now helped create a superior proposition.
This shrinking generated several spin offs. Symphony was treating the
off the map' customer with the same seriousness accorded to the urban
counterpart; Symphony was normalising geographic differences down to a national delivery
timing mean; Symphony was deepening its brand recall around a first to deliver'
proposition.
One would presume that such an exercise would at best remain academic
considering that the size of this last mile market would be moderate at best. Here is the
surprise (and it only keeps us grounded as students who do not claim to know everything):
the sales growth that the Company reported during the last financial year from these
distant frontier pockets was four times the growth speed derived from the rest of India.
This market existed; this was a market that no one really cared about. The reason: the
conventional classification acting as that misleading indicator: Number of products
sold.' At Symphony, the difference that we brought to the table was that we did not
perceive this market to be a constant; we saw it as a variable. We said that the market
will expand influenced by the speed with which we deliver. If we deliver faster, the
market will grow; if we stay within the erstwhile delivery standard, the market will
remain the same. From a point where service was seen as an appendage, we made it a sales
driver. By introducing the element of speed, we treated desire with corresponding respect:
we stoked desire; we seduced desire; we grew the market. The findings from our successful
laboratory experiment are now being scaled across our geographic footprint with proven
detail. During the current financial year, we expect to scale our last mile coverage.
There is a sub-message that I must not miss: we could have remained complacent in
addressing a market that could have grown on its own (and responded like a conventional
storekeeper This is what we have, take it or leave it'). We seeded this
market with service variables expected to make it grow better. As an aside, I cannot
resist mentioning that this recall rubbed off the right way in the select locations in
Delhi NCR, Hyderabad, and Bengaluru where one leading Quick Commerce player banked on our
responsiveness and included the delivery of our air-coolers as a part of its delivery
pitch; needless to say, this again was a first for the air-cooler category. Rather than
sit pretty with this compliment', we immediately got our back-end teams to
start thinking: How can we, in our standalone capacity, match the Quick Commerce
player's accelerated delivery service?' Suddenly, people started talking of the
Symphony air-cooler not as much as a product, but as a service. Wow.
Recognising the vast potential of the Indian market the largest
consumer market in the world by headcount, we anticipate a rapid acceleration of this
digital first purchasing behaviour.
There was another frontier we pushed during the last financial year:
Direct-to-Consumer (D2C) sales. In the past, there was a restricted appreciation of this
sales engagement. The general excuses put out were that this was a futuristic format, that
India was too conventional to ever become D2C and that Indians treated physical purchase
as a family event.
However, something different has happened in the last few years.
Following the pandemic, digitalisation has emerged as a way of life. Consumers are more
willing to pay online for the purchase of a range of products. This is more than a
fleeting preference; it represents a structural shift.
At Symphony, we could have chosen to merely witness the emergence of
this structural shift and said that it would not extend to our product category; if people
were to pay ~H10,000 for a product, they would like to run their finger on the product
before saying Yes'.
We took a differentiated approach. This is what we found: fewer
consumers were willing to step out of their comfort zone to drive to locations, park, and
buy; they were more willing to trust that a product from an established brand (like ours)
would be no different from how it appeared on the internet; they were willing to buy
directly from our portal where the product authenticity, pricing, and warranty would be
completely kosher. Recognising the vast potential of the Indian market the largest
consumer market in the world by headcount-we anticipate a rapid acceleration of this
digital-first purchasing behaviour. Sooner. Not later. Consequently, we are prioritising
our D2C strategy to meet this evolving consumer demand, ensuring that we remain at the
forefront of this market transformation.
There were other factors behind the decision to widen our direct
consumer engagement. By reaching the customer directly, we would begin consumer
disintermediation; this one initiative would generate precious information of who was
buying what, when and where; this would lead us on to data analytics, the ultimate
frontier in a country of 1.45 billion people; the aggregation of a multi-year data lake
would lay the foundation for a futuristic company marked by deep learning leading to
disproportionate outcomes. While we respect our trade partners for getting us here, we
recognised that with the evolving consumer purchasing trends, we needed alternative sales
engagements that enhanced consumer convenience. There is just nothing to beat the
convenience of a consumer ordering an air-cooler on the mobile phone at breakfast and
getting it delivered by lunch. Besides, we also saw the D2C as an effective means to
supplement the trade partner's push with a consumer-induced pull, a competitive
marketing moat.
When we embarked on this D2C exercise a couple of years ago, we felt
that it would, at best, be academic and directional. We could not have been more wrong
(still learning, still learning); our D2C portal turned into a virtual brand store;
consumers bought off-season (in addition to in-season), some went to a retailer and
returned to buy from our site, and best of all they bought value-added
air-coolers in larger proportions. When we started out, we felt that if this exercise
broke even at low volumes in the future, we could label the initiative as
pursuable'. We stood educated: during the last financial year, the EBITDA
margin generated from our D2C revenues was equal to the margin generated through
conventional trade channels; the revenues derived from the former had also achieved
critical mass.
During the last financial year, the EBITDA margin generated from D2C
revenues was equal to the margin generated through conventional trade channel. The
revenues derived from the former had also achieved critical mass.
What should the Symphony stakeholder make of this?
If one perceives this through the conventional prism of
D2C', it may be like missing the woods for the trees. There are larger things
at play within Symphony. This play has a lot to do with the exciting D' word:
Digitalisation.
Symphony is a technology-driven Company seeking to push multiple
frontiers through the prudent use of digitalisation across the breadth of its operations.
During the year under review, we accelerated product development using cutting-edge
technology; we strategically re-entered the storage water heater market with a suite of
innovative products; this reframed the conventional water warming approach towards soft
water-induced health (a new technology-driven interpretation of a conventional
multi-decade product). We were not launching to merely sell; we were launching to
reinvent'.
There were more technology-driven air-cooler launches. The Silenzo
air-cooler was a whispering air-cooler (reminds me of the classic David Ogilvy line:
At 60 miles per hour, the loudest you can hear is the ticking of the clock').
Besides, we launched the Air Force air-cooler that came closest to the blast of a
commercial cooler, directed at carving away market share from the country's
unorganised sector. That brings me to an interesting point. In the past, there was a
sectorial reconciliation that products from organised brands like ours would be priced
higher than unorganised alternatives (and hence uncompetitive). Air Force emerged as a
technology-driven gamechanger that addressed the price, value, and aspiration needs of a
consumer who conventionally focused only on the unorganised variant. For Symphony, a brand
that has been consistently positioned as premium, we are happy to have launched a price
warrior that has taken the fight to the opponent's dressing room; in this case, this
dressing room' (unorganised sector) comprises 65% of the value of all
air-coolers sold in India.
In addition, the Company also entered adjacent product categories
(tower fans, kitchen cooling fans, and personal cooling fans) to widen the total
addressable market, generate superior economies, seed these categories with
institutionalised innovation, provide a superior price-value proposition, and enhance
complementary product lines for trade partners. The Company offered sleek tower fans and
personal coolers with features like a water/ice chamber, multi-level swing, and
dust-filtered honeycomb pads for efficient and clean cooling. This made the product ideal
for living room, balcony, bedroom, kitchen, and office applications.
A review of the Company's India operations will not be complete
without a mention of a default by our e-commerce distributor. Over the years, Symphony
extended credit to modern trade channels (including e-commerce); this was distinct to the
approach employed for the general trade channels where the Company operated on a
cash-and-carry basis. Our e-commerce distributor defaulted; the Company responded with
decisive mitigation actions; it wrote off in accordance with Ind-AS, and continues to
pursue recovery through direct and legal means. In parallel, the Company undertook
comprehensive overhaul of its credit risk management framework; it deepened credit
evaluation, extended credit insurance to cover all modern trade partners, and rationalized
in credit limits.
Symphony cemented its respect and position as the world's leading
air-cooler Company. The Company enjoyed a prime recall across trade partners the world
over, generating the recall that if it is Symphony, it must be the best.'
The Company's consolidated Rest of the World business grew 20%
during the last financial year. These Rest of the World revenues comprised 32% of the
Company's consolidated revenues during the last financial year.
The highlight of our international operations during the year under
review comprised sustained growth by the Mexican subsidiary (with prospects of
disproportionate outperformance during the current financial year); the Company's
Brazil subsidiary increased its sales over 50% (and is likely to repeat this trend); the
Company's Chinese subsidiary reported its first annual profit in 14 years, while more
than doubling its revenue; the Australian subsidiary underperformed in FY 2024-25 but a
number of concurrent initiatives should graduate the business sooner to a probable
break-even. The Company's direct exports from India to pan-global markets grew 83% in
FY 2024-25. Symphony deepened its respect and position as the world's leading
air-cooler company. The Company enjoyed a prime response across trade partners the world
over, generating the recall that If it is Symphony, it must be the best.' In
our pursuit of sustainable and profitable growth, we chart new courses, reviewing our
strengths with keen resources, striving to elevate shareholder value with every step. Our
Board has granted us the wings to explore divesting or monetising our stakes in Climate
Technologies (Australia) and IMPCO (Mexico). Though we may part in ownership, their value
to us remains strong. Even under new guardians, they might still be partners. Our focus
will sharpens on India's fertile ground and vibrant overseas markets across the USA,
Brazil, Europe, and the Middle East etc., inspired by their recent robust performance and
favorable seasons. This initiative underscores our commitment to prioritise high-growth,
high-profitability opportunities with stronger ROCE and enhanced shareholder value.
At Symphony, a deal valued at ~USD 5.2 million (~H44 Crores) flourishes
a harmonious exchange between GSK's ingenuity and IMPCO's promise. GSK,
the master of innovation, divested its select technological jewels (technological know-how
and nine IPRs), in favour of IMPCO, yet holding onto the essence of residual technological
jewels to propel its growth in local and international markets. IMPCO, the new custodian,
will embrace these research-led treasures, setting the stage for accelerated growth within
its markets. This transaction, like a well-crafted poem, speaks of shared prosperity and
the promise of rapid growth.
The Company sustained its commitment to prudent capital allocation and
profit distribution. The Board decreed a plan to share the fruits of the Company's
performance by distributing at least sixty percent of the consolidated Profit After Tax
through dividends and buybacks.
Historically, over the past decade, five years, three years, and even
the last year, our generosity exceeded this threshold, allowing shareholders returns to
flow like well-aged vintage wine.
We have taken our first steps in transforming from an Indian air-cooler
company to a global brand; we are evolving from technology-familiar products to
technologically intensive variants; we are not servicing existing consumer needs but
seeding new preferences; we are graduating from conventional sales channels to futuristic
alternatives; we are challenging our teams to achieve what was once assumed not
doable.'
What is the overarching message that I need to leave with you?
It would be this: we have taken our first steps in transforming from an
Indian air-cooler company to a global brand; we are evolving from technology-familiar
products to technologically-intensive variants; we are not servicing existing consumer
needs but seeding new preferences; we are graduating from conventional sales channels to
futuristic alternatives; we are challenging our teams to achieve what was once assumed
not doable.'
I have a sneaking feeling and I am going to say it. We may have taken
the first step in transforming from an organisation into an institution. We demonstrated
resilience during the last few years. We are now placed to capitalise on a period of
rejuvenation going ahead.
Warm regards (of the other kind),
Achal Bakeri |
Chairman and Managing Director |